Premier League Futures Positions
In 2021/22 Season, SoccerPicksClub returned more than 34 units of profit for an ROI of more than 45% on European Futures! Our Platinum VIP members have futures in several leagues, but we are giving out our EPL positions to everyone here in this blog.
The Premier League begins again on Friday, August 5 when Crystal Palace play host to their London rivals Arsenal. We are here to give you our brief thoughts and favorite futures positions on the league. Last season we returned a little more than 6 units of net profit on our futures positions in the EPL for an ROI of more than 60%.
Manchester City is the clear favorite once again and who could argue after they add uber-talented striker Erling Haaland to an already explosive unit. What people don't talk about enough with City is how little they give up on the back-end. Sure questions remain about their ability to win the Champions League. Over the course of the 38 game Premier League season, however, this is the class of the league.
Liverpool are the second favorites and have replaced Sadio Mane (Bayern Munich) with Darwin Nunez in from Benfica. Early returns in the preseason look good. Nunez and last season's addition to the attack, Luis Diaz have added even more pace up front to compliment Mo Salah's scoring ability. Liverpool play a beautiful style under Jurgen Klopp and it we don't see a lot changing this season for the Premier League and Champions League runners up.
Since these two clubs are such clear favorites, we have an option to bet into a market without them included and that’s where we will go for our first play.
We were very impressed with Tottenham after Antonio Conte arrived last season. The Spurs are led by Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son who seem to have a common heart-beat on the pitch and link up so well in the attack. The Spurs were really buzzing after getting the hang of Conte's system and we think they could give a real run to the top 2 this season. Tottenham also added Christian Romero to their back-line from Atalanta and brought Richarlison over from Everton. They also have a blossoming Dejan Kulusewski in attack, so the ability to rotate up front will be a strength of this club. Rather than betting into Man City and Liverpool we will take a more conservative position on the Spurs.
Tottenham to Win League without Man City & Liverpool +175 (Risk 1 unit)
The next side we like near the top is another team from London, Arsenal. The Gunners have some of the best young attacking and midfield talent in the league and we really think adding Gabriel Jesus was a big upgrade for them. If Miguel Arteta can finally get it right, and help Bukayo Saka shine, we see a Top 4 finish and a return to the Champions League for the Gunners. We will take 3 positions on Arsenal at the prices available.
Arsenal to Finish Top 4. +185 (Risk 0.6 units)
Arsenal to Finish Top 6. -140 (Risk 1 unit)
Arsenal vs Man United (Head to Head better finish) -115 (Risk 0.8 units)
Because there are some really strong sides at the top we can reasonably count on, we will also make 1 fun exotic bet!
Exact Top 4 in Order: Man City / Liverpool / Tottenham / Arsenal. +5000 (Risk 0.1 unit)
We were a year early last year on Aston Villa. But this team is building something under Steven Gerrard and are now arguably the strongest team not in the Top 6 in terms of player value and roster spend. Bringing back Phillipe Cutinho after a super successful loan the 2nd half of last season is huge for Villa. They also added talented center back Diego Carlos from Sevilla to pair up with Tyrone Mings at the back. If they can gel in front of a strong goalkeeper in Argentinian #1 Emiliano Martiniez, we should see big improvements for Villa. Also of note is new assistant head coach, Neil Critchley brings with him a wing attacking system that should help Cutinho, Leon Bailey and Emi Buendia (among others) excel.
Aston Villa Top Team without the Big 6. +600 (Risk 0.5 units)
The last bet we will make on the top side of the table is for another team we like, Crystal Palace. Patrick Viera’s squad posted a solid season last year but their metrics were even more impressive than their finish. Palace is led once again by Wilfred Zaha and compliment him with a couple other intriguing options. They brought Chris Richards over from Bayern to compete at center-back and feel like they've upgraded at goalkeeper as well. If Palace can perform closer to their XG numbers this year, they should finish in the top half and are worth a small play to do so.
Crystal Palace Top Half (Top 10) Finish +240 (Risk 0.6 units)
Of the promoted sides, the one we like best this season is Nottingham Forest. Forest started last year in the Championship with just 1 point through 7 games and looked to be heading down, not up! But the manager change sparked them and nobody was hotter at the end of the season. And they’ve spent a bunch in the offseason. We see Forest as this year’s Brentford and a solid finish could be in store.
Nottingham Forest Top Promoted Side. +135 (Risk 0.7 units)
On the other end of the table we have some opinions as well. Bournemouth are the strong favorites to make the drop back down and while we agree they should do so, there’s no value in that bet at -180 or worse. So let’s start with a team some may be surprised to see us taking a shot to finish at the bottom. Brighton & Hove Albion have been a bit of a metrics darling the last couple seasons. But they seem to us to have gotten worse in the offseason. And when you’re a side that needs to win on a much smaller budget, the margins are very thin. We see a lot of value in fading them at nice prices for this season.
Brighton & Hove Albion to be Relegated. +800 (Risk 0.2 units)
Brighton & Hove Albion to finish Bottom. +4000 (Risk 0.1 units)
Leicester City vs Brighton (Head to Head better finish) -125 (Risk 0.9 units)
Very often we see a promoted side have a feel good season only to fall off dramatically and make the drop in the second season. This happened to Sheffield United a couple years back and we see a potential similar result this season for Brentford. The Bees finished a solid 13th last campaign but did little to improve as others got better around them.
Brentford to be Relegated. +250 (Risk 0.5 units)
Brentford to finish Bottom. +900 (Risk 0.25 units)
We hope you enjoyed our preview and thoughts on the betting markets for the Premier League 22/23 season. If you liked this content, please reach out at one of the methods below to learn about joining our picks club for $100 lifetime membership!
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Nate - SoccerPicksClub
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